Oil: Middle East tensions and yield spillovers – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues that Middle East developments and Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure raise the probability of higher crude Oil prices. He warns that an escalation involving US support for Saudi Arabia or renewed strikes on Iran could push Oil back toward earlier-year peaks. Such a move would likely trigger another jump in long-term yields and broader market volatility, impacting global FX.